Regarding the issue of raising chickens in the second half of the year, our view is that 2020 is possible. If you have the idea of starting a chicken farm business, try to start breeding as early as possible. The reason is that now the egg price is higher and at least it can last for a period of high income of 2-3 years. So now there will be more people entering the chicken industry. If it starts next year, I am afraid it will be a little late.
If the conditions are met, it is better to start poultry farming now. From the current market situation, it should be a good time to intervene. In recent years, it should be a time window for laying hens. Why do you say this? There are three main reasons:
First, the profits of farmed layer hens are considerable now and may last for a long time.
At present, there is a 21-month profit period for laying hens. According to the development trend analysis, the egg price will be at a relatively high level in the next period. The author believes that the average price will be above the level in three years, and the egg price will be 0.5 times higher than usual 70% of the time in three years. The expected profit should be very considerable.
Second, the current low stock of laying hens is a good time to intervene.
Judging from the current inventory of laying hens, it is in a low position. According to institutional data, the current number of laying hens is about 1.105 billion, which is roughly the same as in 2018, 205 million lower than 2017, and 2016. It is 352 million lower, 329 million lower than 2015, which can be said to be at a relatively low level in the past 6 years, so it is ideal to intervene in breeding now.
Third, the stock of live pigs has dropped significantly, and production capacity recovery has been slow, which is good for laying hens.
As the stock of live pigs fell sharply this year, it fell by 32.2% year-on-year in July. As we all know, one of the big reasons for the increase in egg prices this year is the sharp increase in pork prices.
Because African swine fever is still present, everyone’s willingness to raise pigs has led to a slow recovery in production capacity, and the favorable price for eggs will continue for a long time.
If you plan to invest in poultry farming on a large scale, you can purchase some poultry farming equipment to raise chickens. Chicken cage equipment allows you to raise more chickens on the same land area.